← Research logMomentum & Time-Series
KILLED · look-ahead
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A discrete wavelet transform separates price into time–frequency bands; trading the denoised low-frequency trend while ignoring high-frequency noise improves momentum timing.

Decompose the log-price into approximation + detail coefficients across levels $j$:

$$ x_t = \sum_{k} a_{J,k}\,\phi_{J,k}(t) + \sum_{j=1}^{J}\sum_{k} d_{j,k}\,\psi_{j,k}(t) $$

Reconstruct using only low-frequency approximation bands as the "trend".

Daubechies-4 DWT, trade the slope of the reconstructed trend. Tested with both batch and strictly-causal (online) transforms.

Batch DWT backtest Sharpe2.3
Strictly-causal (online) DWT Sharpe0.0
Edge sourceboundary look-ahead
KILLED
The impressive backtest was pure look-ahead: a batch wavelet transform uses future bars to denoise the present (boundary effect). Re-run strictly causally, the edge is exactly zero. A textbook reconstruction-bias trap.
Any transform that "denoises" a bar using neighbouring bars peeks at the future at the right boundary. If a backtest needs the batch transform to work, it does not work.

We publish the failures too.

This is one of 100+ documented hypotheses. Browse the full lab notebook, or see the strategies that survived into production.