Leaderboard of losers / updated 2026-10-28

30 popular strategies on 100 Binance perps: the honest results

Every template from the Reality Check Lab builder, run at its textbook defaults on the same universe (top 100 Binance USDT perps by volume, 15m), the same period (2025-10-27 to 2026-10-27), the same exits (2% stop, 4% target, 48 bars) and the same costs (taker fee, slippage, actual funding). 0 of 30 cleared the random-entry control and the Bonferroni bar; 29 lose money after costs. Click a row for the full page with the equity curve, train/test split and parameter landscape.

30
strategies tested
0
cleared the controls
29
lose money net
1
noise
-0.17%
median net per trade
#strategynet %tWRnverdict
1Long liquidation burst 3x + bid-heavy book: long GoldenGlass-0.28%-1.842%303NO EDGE2OI drop 5% in 4h + funding top 10%: short GoldenGlass-0.27%-2.433%432NO EDGE3Volume-spike breakout-0.22%-6.535%5,627NO EDGE4Parabolic SAR flip long-0.22%-4.735%8,040NO EDGE5VWAP bounce (intraday)-0.22%-3.736%7,107NO EDGE6MACD signal cross-0.22%-4.536%8,093NO EDGE7Ichimoku Tenkan/Kijun cross-0.21%-4.535%7,299NO EDGE8Pin bar / hammer reversal-0.21%+0.739%1,801NO EDGE9Breakout (break of structure)-0.21%-5.535%7,836NO EDGE10Supertrend flip long-0.20%-4.535%7,944NO EDGE11Bollinger lower-band bounce-0.20%-3.537%7,118NO EDGE12Heikin-Ashi green flip-0.18%-3.437%7,749NO EDGE13Stochastic oversold cross-0.18%-1.238%4,939NO EDGE14EMA golden cross-0.18%-3.436%7,408NO EDGE15RSI bullish divergence-0.18%+0.438%3,172NO EDGE16Buy the dip (-X% in N bars)-0.17%-1.234%7,158NO EDGE17Three-bar reversal (down-down-up)-0.17%-3.736%9,087NO EDGE18Spot premium 0.03% + thin book (wide spread): long GoldenGlass-0.16%-1.538%202NO EDGE19Golden pocket (0.618 fib)-0.16%-3.833%2,524NO EDGE20RSI oversold bounce-0.15%-1.138%5,996NO EDGE21Order block retest (SMC)-0.15%-4.134%11,660NO EDGE22Williams %R oversold-0.15%-2.038%6,718NO EDGE23Negative funding + OI rising 3% in 8h: long GoldenGlass-0.15%-1.033%782NO EDGE24CCI oversold reversal-0.14%-1.935%8,084NO EDGE25Fair value gap (imbalance) fill-0.14%-2.736%9,452NO EDGE26Keltner lower-channel bounce-0.14%-2.034%8,610NO EDGE27Bullish engulfing-0.12%+1.240%3,783NO EDGE28Top traders crowded long + OI at 30d high: short GoldenGlass-0.10%-0.742%1,021NO EDGE29Double bottom (W pattern)-0.10%+1.540%1,884NO EDGE30Bybit crowd short-heavy + calm BTC: long GoldenGlass+0.29%+0.840%107NOISE

The entry rule is the only variable. A row counts as an edge only with a positive net result, t(NW) at or above the Bonferroni bar for the cells in its sweep, the same sign in test and in the second half, and a better result than random entry and the 24h placebo.

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A report is research on past data, not a trading signal. One venue, one history. Trade at your own risk.