Predict markets, decoded by AI

PREDICT scans Polymarket every few hours, estimates fair probability with quant-grade AI, surfaces mispriced bets retail can't catch by hand. Every prediction logged publicly. Every outcome scored.

View full track record → Open Polymarket ↗ All resolved bets · transparent · refreshing live

Best calls the AI made

Largest ROI bets where PREDICT correctly read mispricing the market missed. Each card links to the resolved market on Polymarket.

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See all resolved predictions (wins + losses) →

Track record · resolved bets at edge ≥10%

Where the AI earns and where it doesn't

PREDICT bets on underdogs when the AI sees a meaningful mispricing — so win rates look low (often 20-40%), but each win pays 3-9× the stake. What matters is ROI per bet, not win rate. Categories with persistent negative ROI are excluded from the live feed.

Sector	Picks	Win rate	Avg edge	$1-stake ROI	Status
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Current mispriced bets

AI's estimate vs market price. Sort by edge magnitude. Click through to bet on Polymarket.

Track record →

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All Sports Politics Crypto Markets Culture Tech Weather Other

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How PREDICT works

No magic. Just consistent probabilistic analysis applied to every market.

Scan

Polymarket sweep

Every 4 hours, fetch top active markets by 24h volume. Filter by liquidity. Build target list of 15+ markets per scan.

Estimate

AI probability

Claude analyzes question, description, recent news, base rates, price momentum. Returns probability estimate + confidence.

Edge

Compute divergence

AI estimate vs market price. If divergence ≥5%, flag as potential edge. Direction = BUY YES or BUY NO.

Track

Validate vs reality

When market resolves, compare AI prediction to outcome. After 30–60d sample, prove whether AI edge is real.

Edge through scale + speed

Humans can't read 100 markets at once. AI can. Where retail misprices through inattention, we catch it.

Retail problem

Why most bettors lose

→Read 5 news articles, place vibes-based bet
→Ignore base rates (history of similar events)
→Anchor on recent news, miss bigger picture
→Skip long-tail markets (where edges actually exist)
→No systematic process

PREDICT advantage

What AI does differently

→Scans every market every 4 hours, never tires
→Applies base rates consistently
→Weighs evidence proportionally, not emotionally
→Finds mispriced long-tail markets retail ignores
→Track record verifiable over 30-60d samples

Get the picks

Public site shows the track record. Subscribers get every actionable edge delivered to Telegram in real-time, before resolution.

Basic

$29/mo

Daily digest via TG bot
All picks with edge ≥ 10%
AI reasoning per pick
Public track record access