PARTIAL · same effect, third costume
Hypothesis
A tight consolidation ("base") followed by an impulsive rally marks a demand zone; the first return to the base finds unfilled buy orders. The supply-and-demand course canon.
Definition
\text{base}: \tfrac{H_b-L_b}{L_b}\le 1\% \text{ over } \ge 30\text{min}; \quad \text{impulse}: +3\% \text{ in } 30\text{min}; \quad \text{entry at first return to } H_b
Method
Long the first retest of the base top, SL under the base, TP 2R. Same harness. n = 59 (the setup is genuinely rare when defined strictly).
Results
| Trades | 59 |
| Win rate | 56% |
| Mean net per trade | +0.57% |
| Profit factor | 2.02 |
| t-statistic | 2.6 |
| Train / test halves | +0.51% / +0.61% — both positive |
Why it (partially) works
- Strictly defined, this is once again a pullback to the origin of a fresh impulse — the same effect that keeps Order Block (N-116) and Golden Pocket (N-115) alive. Three brandings, one phenomenon.
- n = 59 is thin. The direction and both-halves consistency match its siblings, which is why we grade it partial rather than noise.
Positive (+0.57%/trade, PF 2.02) but rare and thin-sampled. Together with N-115/N-116 it triangulates ONE real retail-accessible effect: momentum-pullback to impulse origin. Everything else in the course catalog tested dead.
When three independently-branded setups survive testing and share one mechanical core, the core is the finding. Buy the pullback in a fresh impulse; ignore the mythology attached to it.